Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and leave our college football picks on the Monday night game between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and then that I shall detract to dip our feet into uncharted waters.
It will almost certainly be the first and only time this year we do so, as the previous week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster in comparison to a regular-season game of NCAA football featuring one of the top teams in the country, plus a legendary soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us start the discussion after my friend Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager on the Steelers while the Titans were endorsed by me. We have been placing wins back and forth so it appears like it is my turn for the gold wreath, as I will accompany the squares putting the thick lumber on a public road favorite and heartily endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the school soccer odds almost six days before the Monday night event, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the favorite, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered in a solid -20 across the board at all the best internet sportsbooks.
Youre currently leaning on the Cardinals although I enjoy the Irish. Besides the venue is it that you think Louisville could hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yes and a successful win IMO, it said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Lets move to real football, so will our records with this one and in which the games count.
Remember Louisville used to play against opponents that are big-name? They more than held their engineered and own several upsets. These were enjoyable games to see and the Cardinals were an golf club.
But such as the former Papa Johns Stadium and its fake (in real life) owner, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked wonders at Appalachian State and are out win games and to alter the culture. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down from theVille. Nonetheless, this is a big time for Louisville, a team which has the chance.
Ive read where the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and that I like Hassan Hall because the lead running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 the protection which makes me more nervous. Please do tell why you have your Irish up.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much since the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest, flying into this game. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a group coming off of a dismal album in which they went winless in ACC activity last year. This rebuild is comparable to trying to turn it and taking a hot air balloon.
While that may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is facing a team that made it into the CFP this past year and owned only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points over the normal season and moving a perfect 12-0 until they met Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders as well, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to discharge, designed to get some traction against a defense that is Irish? Especially when he is working with a new coach and an entirely new offensive strategy?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville is going to be able to keep up and Im desperate for the sage wisdom and handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, I am pleased to read in your last sentence you are coming around to the glowing side of sport betting, or youre simply being the identical wise a** you are. Ill let the SBR readers who are currently making that is decided on by school football selections. Im the first to realize Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not only 2-10 and fully pumped last season.
But that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons. A coach brings a fresh attitude and his team will be sold by Satterfield on building a statement with this being a national match. Louisville does have to hope the Irish will take them and never have a lot of fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and the blue is just 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS if dishing out 20 or more specimens. That defense you said might improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even if you dont/cant recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it will take some time.
I was being a bit facetious because although youve got an handicapping restart, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this situation, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville might be better than last year but I would submit that they are coached by a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their record left by an trainer such as Petrino.
I know that laying nearly three touchdowns on the road would be square biz for sure along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the people is right, and also in this instance they definitely are. Until next week when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, let us see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)