NEW YORK YANKEES 100-62 | 2019 Projection: 102 Wins
WIN 62% OF NEUTRAL FIELD SIMULATIONS
The normal season went as expected. They won 100 games versus an anticipated win total of 100. They won 58% over the street which was expected (58%). They won 53 at home and were expected to win 53. Our projected record for next season is comparable. They are averaging 102 wins per sim and are projected to finish first in the American League. There is not a lot of gap between them and the #3 rated Red Sox that are projected to get 100 wins. They are a competition with a 15.2% chance of winning the World Series according to simulations and a 25% chance of accomplishing the sequence. Even with all the juice, they are a decent futures value with championship chances of 6/1, 14.3% and odds to win the AL at 11/4, 26.7 percent. They are the favorite to win the AL East in 53.5percent but they aren’t a good value to acquire the branch at 4/5 (55.6%) odds.
Had they not had a firesale of the high talent this off-season they would have been projected to win nearly 90 matches and would have been real contenders. Their 103 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +1.4 over what oddsmakers’ money line projected. The season went better than expected. Their strength was in road games. They gained 70.4% on the road which was much better than anticipated (58.9percent ). They won 46 at home and were expected to acquire 53.8. Anticipate a similar record following season. In our most recent simulations they are averaging 102 wins and are estimated to finish second in the American League. There is not a lot of gap between them along with the #3 rated Red Sox that are projected for 100 wins. They are a competition with a 18.9% probability of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 32% probability of accomplishing the sequence. Even with the juice, they’re a good futures value with championship odds of 6/1, 14.3percent and odds to win the AL at 11/4, 26.7%. The Astros are not as great as the Yankees if they had the same schedule and same branch. But given their overwhelming favourite status to win their division (84 percent in simulations. 1/8, 89% odds) they have a much greater chance of avoiding the Wild Card match and then have the best chance of winning it all from the American League.